Winds were calmer than expected with clear skies lingering longer than expected, leading it to drop to 42F before rising into the lower 50s F by sunrise. Southerly winds strengthened rapidly to a maximum of at least 26 kt. Low clouds broke as expected, leading it to warm up to 71F, but surprisingly, the low clouds came back in, causing it to cool down a bit. Low clouds and strong southerly winds will prevent much cooling tonight, but the low will occur at the end (Friday 06z) after the passage of a strong cold front in the evening. The maximum wind will likely occur either early tonight, with the strong southerly winds, or with the surge of northerly winds with the cold frontal passage tomorrow evening. During the day tomorrow, winds will shift to a downsloping and dry westerly wind. After morning low clouds, plenty of afternoon sunshine with just a few high cirrus clouds will lead to hot temperatures, perhaps above most model guidance as is usually the case in these dry, sunny downslope setups at this time of year. Scattered showers and thunderstorms could develop just ahead of the front, but they likely will not be widespread due to the dry air. Low clouds will return after the frontal passage, with the cooling largely due to the strong low-level cold advection. Temperatures tend to drop more quickly than modeled with these strong low-level cold surges in the Plains.
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