Monday, October 30, 2023

Day 5 of Dallas, TX (KDFW)

Clouds will clear out tonight, leaving for clear skies for the rest of the night and tomorrow, leading to a perfect diurnal cycle. Northerly winds will gradually weaken and could weaken just enough for a bit better radiational cooling and surface inversion formation at around sunrise, but not enough for ideal radiational cooling. Otherwise, a gradual cooldown is expected, with a cold air mass already in place. It will quickly warm up tomorrow until a surge of northerly wind associated with a secondary cold front and reinforcement of the cold air mass will stop the warmup in the afternoon. With the sunshine gradually modifying the cold air mass, it will likely get just a bit warmer than models (likely not as much as last Friday though), especially with compressional warming ahead of the secondary cold front. The pressure gradient won’t be that strong, but the full sunshine and boundary layer mixing will lead to efficient mixing of any stronger winds aloft down to the surface when the surge of northerly winds arrive in the afternoon, so peak winds will be close to the late afternoon boundary layer mean or 900 hPa winds (perhaps near or a bit stronger than USL). 
 
Source: PivotalWeather
 

No comments:

Post a Comment