Monday, October 23, 2023

Day 1 of Dallas, TX (KDFW)

Back to an urbanized area with Dallas/Fort Worth airport (KDFW). Thick mid to upper-level clouds are already in place and low clouds will develop late in the night, as often occurs with a moist south-southeasterly flow off the Gulf of Mexico transporting moisture into the boundary layer that cools at night to saturation. The wind and clouds will limit radiational cooling regardless of the urban heat island effect, and actually, the Dallas area is unlikely to be much warmer than the surrounding area. During the day tomorrow, low clouds could slowly break up but will be widespread enough to prevent a quick warmup, with winds strengthening slightly given the modest daytime heating allowing for mixing of stronger winds from aloft, especially during any break in the clouds. Rainfall is very uncertain, with showers and thunderstorms possibly just reaching KDFW but could also just miss to the northwest. Perhaps there will be some scattered storms producing light rainfall amounts. I don’t think the hotter models will verify given the storms in proximity, but they could if the storms stay a little farther northwest.
 

Source: PivotalWeather
 
 
Source: PivotalWeather

 
 

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