Rapid
radiational cooling led to a low of 34F last night, at the bottom of the entire
forecast distribution! Sunshine led to a rapid warmup afterward with a high of 71F
so far today, though perhaps it could sneak to 72F. Max wind is 12 kt so far but
could get a bit higher. The weather will be much more active for the rest of
the week. Winds will be almost calm again tonight, but increasing clouds late
in the night will lead to less radiational cooling tonight, and the clouds will
lead to a slightly cooler high tomorrow (probably by 3-5F). There will still be
breaks of sunshine which will allow for a rather quick warmup. The winds for
most of tomorrow will be similar to today, but mesoscale models like HRRR and
NAM 3-km show a strip of enhanced winds, perhaps related to elevated convection
or other subtle mesoscale boundary, tomorrow night before 06z. A bit of rain will
likely move in near the end (Thursday 06z).
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