Wednesday, March 19, 2025

Day 3 of Louisville, KY (KSDF)

As expected, strong winds prevented much of a cool down last night, with a low of 59F, though it will get cooler than that by 06z tonight. Thick low-mid level clouds tempered the warmup a bit, but it still got up to 69F and is going up for a last-minute high with clouds thinning out somewhat, well above most model guidance, with strong winds with a maximum of 25 kt so far. Some showers are still expected this evening along the cold front.
 
Strong westerly winds and increasing low-level clouds will prevent much radiational cooling tonight, and whatever cold air mass behind the cold front is coming from the west and is not arctic in nature, leading to temperatures likely staying above most model guidance. The high will actually be at the beginning (Thursday 06z), likely on the warm side of model guidance, with low-level clouds preventing much of a warmup tomorrow. The low will occur at the end (Friday 06z) as winds calm down to ~5 kt, borderline calm enough for good radiational cooling (though KSDF isn't the best at it regardless) and skies clear out.
 
There could also be a convective shower or two during the day tomorrow that brings a few hundredths of an inch of rain in addition to a brief slight boost to the already breezy conditions tomorrow, even if the mixing of stronger winds from aloft is slightly tempered by the cloud cover.

Source: PivotalWeather

Source: PivotalWeather


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