Winds
lightened late last night, leading to a rather quick (by coastal standards)
radiational cooling down to a low of 35F. With full sunshine, it warmed up to 53F,
before the sea breeze kicked in, with a maximum of 18 kt so far, surprisingly strong.
Light easterly winds and mostly clear will lead to good radiational cooling again
tonight, toward the cold end of model guidance. Tomorrow, mostly sunny skies and
winds shifting to southwesterly will lead to slightly warmer temperatures than
today. The winds will be the strongest at the end of the period, which is
actually Saturday 08z (two hours after the end of the period of the other
variables), since winds are measured from midnight to midnight local standard time.
Those two extra hours could be critical today, giving it more time for the
winds to ramp up. However, there will be a strong wind gradient along the coast,
and it is not clear how much of the wind will penetrate inland, with a fair
amount of model disagreement, making for a rather tricky wind forecast. Given that
past data shows that south or south-southeasterly winds are often quite strong,
I am inclined to think that the stronger winds will make it into KCEC.
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