As expected, there was limited radiational cooling last night due to
clouds, but almost all the showers passed to the north and south of
Tulsa (like on day 4), leading to also little evaporational cooling,
leading to a somewhat unexpectedly warm low of 57F. Almost full sunshine
(a bit unexpected) early in the day led to a warmup to a high of 75F
before more clouds came in, though all the convection and rain has
remained to the west so far. There was a maximum wind of 18 kt.
Tonight, cloudy skies and stiff northeasterly winds will limit cooling
again initially, with temperatures likely initially on the warm side of
model guidance and the high occurring at the beginning (Wednesday 06z)
before showers cool it down through evaporational cooling. With mostly
overcast skies and showers blossoming in the area tomorrow, it will not
warm up much, unlike today. There will likely be brief periods of
enhanced northeasterly winds tomorrow that only high-resolution models
can pick up on due to the convection in the vicinity. There looks to be a
substantial amount of rain, though the amount of rain is highly
uncertain, as is often the case with convective events, with models
ranging from 0.1” to 1.9”! The low will likely occur at the end, as
winds turn to northerly, leading to cold advection, and skies clear out,
though winds will be too strong for true radiational cooling.
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| Source: PivotalWeather |
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| Source: PivotalWeather |
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