Tuesday, October 18, 2022

Day 6 of Knoxville, TN (KTYS)

Last night's low was on track to be on the warm side of model guidance until the last 1-2 hours before sunrise when it calmed down just enough to suddenly drop to 31F. Clouds entered in the morning and were a little more stubborn and thicker than expected, leading to a high of just 47F, record cold for this day! The cooler temperatures also kept winds from mixing from aloft, with a maximum of only 10 or 11 kt. 
 
For day 6, clouds are slowly breaking up this evening and will gradually clear out by 02-04 UTC, having little or no effect on tonight’s low. Winds will be not completely calm but probably light enough for some boundary layer decoupling and good radiational cooling to occur, leading to probably an even lower low than last night. Plenty of sunshine tomorrow and a gradually moderating air mass will lead to a warmer high than today, with relatively light winds similar to today, perhaps more westerly and a tad stronger solely due to more vertical mixing with sunshine and warmer temperatures.
 
Source: National Weather Service
Source: Meteogram Generator
 

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