Day 6 of Wichita Falls, TX (KSPS)

Decent but not ideal radiational cooling led to a cool down to a low of 45F last night, followed by full sunshine and light winds leading to a warmup to 69F (probably very close to 70F). A cold front will produce rather strong winds tonight which will gradually weaken but not enough for good radiational cooling. Cooling will instead be largely driven by large-scale cold advection with a not-so-strong nocturnal inversion boundary layer even with clear skies, which models usually handle rather well. With cold advection stopping tomorrow and winds weakening, it will warmup decently tomorrow with full sunshine, perhaps slightly warmer than most models, though the strength of the air mass currently to the northwest that will be advected into KSPS suggests that it may not overshoot models as much and will be substantially cooler than today. The burst of winds expected with the cold front will be mostly subsiding by the start of the period (06z tonight) but might still be strong enough to be the maximum wind of day 6 (and nighttime wind maxima tend to be tricky), though the maximum wind could also occur late tomorrow morning when the sunshine helps mix down the leftover wind from aloft before high pressure approaches, causing winds to weaken in the afternoon and evening.

 

Source: PivotalWeather